Dell Competitiveness 1 May 2024

Dell Technologies Inc. (DELL) stands out in the tech sector for its strategic diversification and ongoing commitment to innovation, particularly in AI technologies. Here’s a breakdown of how Dell’s market segments align with the company’s focus on AI and the outlook for each:

Servers and Networking Segment

Products and Market Share

  • Dell’s server products are designed to cater to AI workloads, data center needs, and cloud environments.
  • Despite slight market share fluctuations, Dell remains a significant player in the server market, holding a steady position against competitors like Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) and Inspur.

AI Server Potential

  • AI’s role in servers lies in optimizing operations like energy usage, reliability, and computational efficiency.
  • Benchmarks show Dell’s servers equipped with NVIDIA’s H100 accelerators demonstrate strong AI performance, nearly on par with HPE’s servers.

Outlook

  • The AI server market is expected to grow rapidly, and Dell, with its 15.6% market share, is set to benefit significantly.
  • Projections suggest Dell’s weighted market share in servers will increase due to its competitiveness in AI.

Storage Segment

Products and Market Share

  • Dell offers a comprehensive range of storage products, from all-flash arrays to software-defined storage.
  • The company holds a leading market share in enterprise storage, with a broad portfolio of products.

AI Storage Potential

  • AI workloads require storage with high performance and scalability.
  • Dell’s PowerScale product line offers impressive capacity and performance, although it trails IBM in some areas.

Outlook

  • The storage market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 5.49%.
  • Factoring in Dell’s competitive advantages, its storage segment is projected to grow at around 5.95% annually.

Client Solutions Group (PCs)

Products and Market Share

  • Dell’s PC segment includes desktops, notebooks, and workstations, alongside various peripherals.
  • While Dell is the third-largest PC maker globally, it experienced a decline in market share due to competitive pressures and sluggish demand.

AI PC Potential

  • Dell is investing in AI PCs that leverage specialized NPUs for improved AI performance.
  • The company holds a competitive edge in AI PCs, offering a relatively high percentage of such devices compared to competitors.

Outlook

  • The AI PC market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 67.1%.
  • Dell’s AI PC market share is expected to increase significantly, contributing to the overall growth of its PC segment.

Conclusion

Dell’s diversified portfolio positions it well to capture growth in the AI-driven tech market, despite recent revenue challenges. The company’s integration of AI technologies into its server, storage, and PC segments will likely drive its growth and market share gains in the coming years.

Financial Outlook

  • Dell is forecasted to achieve 10.2% growth in 2024, driven by AI servers, storage, and PCs.
  • A projected target price of $150.89, based on a discount rate of 8.3% and an industry average EV/EBITDA TTM of 13.36x, suggests a potential upside of 20.8%.

Overall, Dell Technologies appears poised to strengthen its market leadership through its focus on AI, warranting a positive outlook.