What’s Next for Palantir?


Palantir (NYSE: PLTR) is navigating a challenging period as its stock dropped over 8% following a mixed earnings report that left investors uncertain about the company’s near-term growth. Despite beating quarterly revenue estimates, Palantir’s full-year sales outlook fell short of expectations, casting doubt on its ability to sustain the strong growth seen in recent years.

Analyzing the Earnings Report

In its recent earnings announcement, Palantir reported adjusted earnings of 8 cents per share, aligning with Wall Street’s expectations. The company generated $634 million in revenue, a 21% increase from the previous year, and surpassing the $625 million anticipated by analysts. However, it was the company’s full-year revenue guidance that caused concern among investors. Palantir updated its revenue forecast to a range of $2.677 billion to $2.689 billion, which, while above prior estimates, fell short of the $2.71 billion projected by analysts.

Business Highlights

One of the bright spots in the earnings report was Palantir’s U.S. commercial business, which saw a 40% year-over-year growth and became a significant driver of the company’s revenue. The government segment, historically Palantir’s stronghold, also demonstrated solid growth, with a 16% year-over-year increase and a 3% sequential growth, thanks in part to a $178 million contract with the U.S. Army.

Technical Analysis: Key Support Levels to Watch

The market’s reaction to the earnings report was swift, with shares dropping to $23.10 in after-hours trading, down 8.4% from the regular session close. This pullback has brought Palantir’s share price to a critical technical support level at $23, where a horizontal trendline and the 50-day moving average converge.

If the stock breaks below this level, it could signal further downside, potentially testing the next support around $20.30. Investors should closely monitor this zone, as holding above $23 would indicate that buyers are stepping in, potentially stabilizing the price and providing a foundation for recovery.

What’s Next for Palantir?

Despite the disappointing full-year outlook, Palantir’s performance in its core segments and its continued involvement in large-scale government contracts signal the potential for long-term growth. The company’s ability to drive commercial revenue and its strategic positioning in AI and data analytics could still provide significant opportunities.

However, the recent earnings miss highlights the challenges in achieving lofty investor expectations. Maintaining growth momentum and delivering on its revenue projections will be crucial for Palantir to regain investor confidence.

In summary, while Palantir faces some near-term headwinds, the company’s core business remains strong, with significant growth potential in the AI and data analytics markets. Investors should watch the $23 support level closely to gauge the stock’s future direction.